← Hobby Lords Radiant Origins Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Hobby Lords Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.3%
avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1258
· median 1258
· range 1252–1265
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1159
Q3 1297
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
